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We examine the potential for a simple auction to allocate arrival slots during Ground Delay Programs (GDP's) more efficiently than the currently used sys- tem. The analysis of these auctions uses Predictive Game Theory (PGT) Wolpert and Bono (2010a,b), a new approach that produces a probability...
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for state-space models. Out-of-sample forecasts show that the forecast errors of the factor models are on average smaller … and the subspace factor model outperform the static factor model in most cases in terms of mean-squared forecast error …. However, the forecast performance depends crucially on the choice of appropriate information criteria for the auxiliary …
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