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We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
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volatility (MSV) and the multivariate conditional correlation GARCH (CC-MGARCH) framework to investigate the volatility … major findings. First, the volatility in each market is very persistent. It varies over time in a predictable manner …, conditioned on the past information. Second, the volatility in the oil market Granger-causes the volatility in the FX markets but …
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dynamics of oil price volatility by examining interactions between oil market and exchange rate in selected MENA countries …) to examine the presence of volatility spillover between oil prices and exchange rates return series. The econometric … rates, and ii) there is significant evidence of volatility spillovers from oil markets to exchange rate markets in the …
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