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In U.S. data, inflation and output are negatively related in the long run. A Bayesian VAR with stochastic trends generalized to be piecewise linear provides robust reduced-form evidence in favor of a threshold level of trend inflation of around 4%, below which potential output is independent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349322
theory-consistent and narrative sign restrictions on Bayesian SVARs. We find mostly adverse consequences of protectionism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468789
Long-term bond yields contain a risk-premium, an important part of which is compensation for inflation risks. The substantial increase in the Fed funds rate in the mid-2000s did not raise long-term US Treasury yields due to the reduction in the term premium (so-called Greenspan conundrum) which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584286
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306162
unemployment fluctuations due to mismatches between labor supply and labor demand. The effects on an estimated New-Keynesian model …, iii) the implied second-moment statistics of the unemployment rate provide a reasonable match with those observed in the … data, and iv) wage-push shocks, demand shifts and monetary policy shocks are the three major determinants of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727352
Wage stickiness is incorporated to a New-Keynesian model with variable capital to drive endogenous unemployment … Bayesian econometric techniques and quarterly U.S. data. The second-moment statistics of the unemployment rate in the model … policy shocks are the three major determinants of unemployment fl uctuations. Compared to an estimated New-Keynesian model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011158386
Wage stickiness is incorporated to a New-Keynesian model with variable capital to drive endogenous unemployment … Bayesian econometric techniques and quarterly US data. The second-moment statistics of the unemployment rate in the model … shifts and monetary policy shocks are the major determinants of unemployment fluctuations. Compared to an estimated New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065353
unemployment fluctuations as the log difference between aggregate labor supply and aggregate labor demand. After estimation with U ….S. data, the implied second-moment statistics of the unemployment rate provide a reasonable match with those observed in the … determinants of unemployment fluctuations. Compared to an estimated canonical DSGE model without unemployment: wage stickiness is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010559849
This paper takes a first step in analysing how a monetary union performs in the presence of labour market asymmetries. Differences in wage flexibility, market power and country sizes are allowed for in a setting with both country-specific and aggregate shocks. The implications of asymmetries for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010126548
This paper takes a first step in analysing how a monetary union performs in the presence of labour market asymmetries. Differences in wage flexibility, market power and country sizes are allowed for in a setting with both country-specific and aggregate shocks. The implications of asymmetries for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003721206