This study examines 16 models of monthly Value-at-Risk (VaR) for three equity indices with an emphasis on the filtered historical simulation (FHS) technique. We investigate the importance of historical simulation versus a parametrized approach, the presence of filter versus a static modeling of...

The estimation of multivariate GARCH time series models is a difficult task mainly due to the excessive parametrization exhibited by the problem, usually referred to as the “curse of dimensionality”. For the VEC family, the number of parameters involved in the model grows as a polynomial of...

Let X be a n×p real matrix with coherence μ(X)=maxj≠j′|XjtXj′|. We present a simplified and improved study of the quasi-isometry property for most submatrices of X obtained by uniform column sampling. Our results depend on μ(X), the operator norm ‖X‖ and the dimensions with explicit...

We show how to use asset market data to restrict the admissible region for the first-order autocorrelation of the stochastic discount factor (SDF). We interpret this statistic as a measure of a model’s economic time variation across two periods. Estimating bounds for nominal and real SDFs at...