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quarter. Germany would thus formally be in a technical recession. However, the slowdown that began in 2018 has so far been a … that economic momentum in Germany has cooled off more than in many other countries. To some extent, this is due to the fact … weigh particularly on production in Germany. Against this backdrop, exports are likely to pick up only gradually. Private …
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production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in … great moderation” in the US at the end of a minor depression in Germany. Around 2005, oil prices increased from $10 to $60 a …
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The ifo Institute is Germany’s largest business survey provider, with the ifo Business Climate Germany as one of the …
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information content of a pool of variables. Results using quarterly data for France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom show …
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We analyze four economic sentiment indicators for the German economy regarding their ability to forecast economic activity. Using cross correlations and Granger causality tests we find that the ifo business expectations (ifo), the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and the ZEW Indicator of Economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014106143
The renewed decline in GDP in the first quarter and the recent deterioration in leading indicators have increased concerns that the aftermath of the energy crisis and the tightening of monetary policy may weigh more heavily on the economy than expected. However, all in all it is more likely that...
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