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We explore empirically models of aggregate fluctuations with two basic ingredients: agents form anticipations about the future based on noisy sources of information; these anticipations affect spending and output in the short run. our objective is to separate fluctuations due to actual changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014206510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003850205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010246484
We explore empirically models of aggregate fluctuations with two basic ingredients: agents form anticipations about the future based on noisy sources of information; these anticipations affect spending and output in the short run. Our objective is to separate fluctuations due to actual changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152615
We explore empirically models of aggregate fluctuations with two basic ingredients: agents form anticipations about the future based on noisy sources of information; these anticipations affect spending and output in the short run. Our objective is to separate fluctuations due to actual changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463634
stronger than that of the long end (i.e., of long term ones). In other words, a financial uncertainty shock causes a temporary … recovery in real activity after a financial uncertainty shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029082
The authors provide empirical evidence on the dynamic effects of tax liability changes in the United States. We distinguish between surprise and anticipated tax changes using a timing convention. We document that pre-announced but not yet implemented tax cuts give rise to contractions in output,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137861
of imperfect information and derive restrictions for identifying the noise shock in a VAR model. The novelty of our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043877
the variation in the GDP in Canada. My findings suggest that TFP news shock is the key driver of GDP in the medium run and … it creates significant positive co-movements among the aggregate variables at business cycle frequencies. Demand shock … dominates in the short run, however, its hard to pin down the exact source of the shock. The findings are robust to alternative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012437729
We study the cyclical dynamics of consumption in the euro area (EA) and the large EA countries by distinguishing durable from nondurable expenditures. We adopt a theoretical partial equilibrium framework to justify the identification strategy of our empirical model, a time-varying parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197836