At its June meeting, for the first time this year, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 0.25 pp. to 7.5% per annum. Such a decision was motivated by the plunge of annual inflation in April-May 2019 to 5.1%, coupled with weakening inflation risks. The inflation...

We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central banks and a comprehensive classification of events, we decompose news conveyed by central banks into news about monetary policy, economic growth, and separately, shocks to risk...

This paper analyzes the liquidity condition of the fixed-income market in Japan, based on Hu, Pan and Wang (2013). We empirically evaluate the illiquidity condition after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) implemented Quantitative and Qualitative Easing. Our result indicates that the liquidity premium has...

Using a model of optimizing central bank behavior, I estimate the dynamic behavior of preferences, which are captured by the relative weight put on stabilizing inflation versus minimizing the output gap. Unlike previous work, I let this parameter vary continuously over time. There is a drastic...

This paper studies the effects of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) forward guidance language. I estimate two policy surprises at FOMC meetings: a change in the current federal funds rate and an orthogonal change in the expected path of the federal funds rate. From February 2000 to June 2003,...

In this article, we are investigating the effects of the macroeconomic variables. We have applied a Quantile regression, (including LAD), in EViews 6 to test the quantile of the natural logarithmic returns of the seasonally adjusted money supply, (M2) on the natural logarithmic returns of the...

In this paper, we examine whether financial spillovers from the European Central Bank's monetary policy have consequences for the effectiveness of domestic monetary policy in three small open economies (SOEs) that are highly integrated with the European (Monetary) Union: Denmark, Norway, and...

The concept of economic multiplier has been extensively used in the design and analysis of the fiscal policy. However, it has never been used to analyse the impact of nominal interest income received by the depositors through the banking channel on the total output. Here, we investigate the...

High-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements are a standard method of measuring monetary policy shocks. However, some recent studies have documented puzzling effects of these shocks on private-sector forecasts of GDP, unemployment, or inflation that are opposite in sign to...

We trace the impact of the European Central Bank (ECB) asset purchase programme (APP) on the yield curve. Exploiting granular information on sectoral asset holdings and ECB asset purchases, we construct a novel measure of the "free-float of duration risk" borne by pricesensitive investors. We...