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The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
Exchange rate volatility has emerged as a significant chal-lenge for Asian emerging markets since the adoption of the liberalization process. This study examines the influence of central banktransparency on exchange rate volatility using a sample of ten important Asian emerging markets. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316656
This paper introduces a novel database of text features extracted from the speeches of 53 central banks from 1996 to 2023 using state-of-the-art NLP methods. We establish four facts: (1) central banks with floating and pegged exchange rates communicate differently, and these differences are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501000
This paper explores the relationship between central bank communication and market sentiment,and proposes a new measure. Market sentiment is proxied using a Twitter-based metric: theCentral Bank Surprise Index. The empirical study covers three cases: the Federal Reserve, theEuropean Central Bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012210744
This paper studies the impact of major ECB monetary policy announcements on the portfolio allocation of euro area fund investors, using daily data between 2012 and mid-2016, a period that includes a variety of unconventional measures. We distinguish between active portfolio reallocation, driven...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764397
This paper discusses the evolution of central bank communication, focusing on recent efforts by central banks to engage with a wider audience via social media. We document the social media presence of major central banks and discuss how analyzing Twitter content by and about monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238784
We discuss the pros of adopting government-issued digital currencies as well as a supranational digital iCurrency. One such pro is to get rid of paper money (and coinage), a ubiquitous medium for spreading germs, as highlighted by the recent coronavirus outbreak. We set forth three policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839523
The paper argues that China's capital controls remain substantially binding. This has allowed the Chinese authorities to retain some degree of short-term monetary autonomy, despite the fixed exchange rate up to July 2005. Although the Chinese capital controls have not been watertight, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224179
We assess monetary convergence preceding the implementation of the European Monetary Union (EMU) through Kalman filtering estimates of the risk premium of eleven forward exchange rates of European and non-European currencies. Since all participating currencies are in effect identical from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604615
We assess monetary convergence preceding the implementation of the European Monetary Union (EMU) through Kalman filtering estimates of the risk premium of eleven forward exchange rates of European and non-European currencies. Since all participating currencies are in effect identical from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783510