This paper analyzes European financial markets' comprehension and interpretation of ECB communication signals. By applying a novel indicator developed by Berger et al. (2006), that quantifies the contents of the ECB's introductory statements, we find that communication affects the term structure...

Central banks should not be in the business of trying to prick asset price bubbles. Bubbles generally arise out of some combination of irrational exuberance, technological jumps, and financial deregulation (with more of the second in equity price bubbles and more of the third in real estate...

Since 1981, monetary policy in Singapore has been centred on managing the trade-weighted nominal effective exchange rate, which has a powerful and predictable influence on domestic prices in a small, open economy. However, given Singapore’s exchange rate-based monetary policy framework and...

We study the response of stock prices to monetary policy, distinguishing effects of exogenous shocks from "Delphic" shocks that reveal the Federal Reserve's macroeconomic forecasts. To decompose monetary policy surprises into these separate components we construct a measure of Federal Reserve...

The objective of this research paper is to analyze if exchange rate interventions that the Central Bank of Mexico had during the 2008-2009 financial crisis influenced the Mexican Peso-US Dollar exchange rate market expectations. Expectations are gauged by Risk-Neutral Densities (RNDs) extracted...

This Article considers the scope of the Federal Reserve's emergency loan-making powers and analyzes their use during the recent financial crisis. It argues that many of the Fed's responses to the crisis exceeded the bounds of its statutory authority.In unusual and exigent circumstances, § 13(3)...

This paper evaluates inflation forecasts made by Norges Bank which is recognized as a successful forecast targeting central bank. It is reasonable to expect that Norges Bank produces inflation forecasts that are on average better than other forecasts, both 'naïve' forecasts, and forecasts...

Central banks regularly communicate about financial stability issues, by publishing Financial Stability Reports (FSRs) and through speeches and interviews. The paper asks how such communications affect financial markets. Building a unique dataset, it provides an empirical assessment of the...

The Communication strategy for central banks is traditionally interlinked with one of their important mandates – conduct of monetary policy. Credibility to central bank actions in the process is achieved by keeping the market expectations more closely synchronised with its own, through the art...