We identify the effect of financial integration on international business cycle synchronization, by utilizing a confidential database on banks’ bilateral exposure and employing a country-pair panel instrumental variables approach. Countries that become more integrated over time have less...

This paper proposes a new test for the asset pricing model of the exchange rate. It examines whether the way market analysts generate their forecasts is closer to the one implied by the asset pricing model, or to any of those implied by some alternative models. The asset pricing model is...

This paper studies net foreign assets and the differential returns between gross foreign assets and liabilities for a sample of 49 countries between 1981 and 2007. It shows that investment income is more important than capital gains in imparting a drift to net foreign assets over the long-run,...

This paper develops a general equilibrium model to analyze the link between financial imbalances and financial crises. The model features an interbank market subject to frictions and where two equilibria may (co-)exist. The normal times equilibrium is characterized by a deep market with highly...

A growing number of papers have studied positive and normative implications of financial frictions in DSGE models. We contribute to this literature by studying the welfare-based monetary policy in a two-country model characterized by financial frictions, alongside a number of key features, like...

Financial market crises with the threat of a subsequent debt-deflation depression have occurred with increasing regularity in the United States from 1980 through the present. Almost reflexively, when confronted with such circumstances, US institutions and the policymakers that run them have...

After summarizing the broad lines of the new Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) for credit institutions in the European Union, the author deals in his contribution with some specific issues that have generated controversy, such as the criteria to select the credit institutions supervised by the...

The European Central Bank's relationship to the national governments of the monetary union was modeled as a contest between fiscal and monetary dominance early in the euro crisis (Buiter 2010, drawing on Sargent and Wallace 1981). This paper shows how strategic behavior helped to shape the...

This note considers the international transmission of monetary policy conditions to emerging market economies (EMEs) with a focus on Brazil's experience. The main points are as follows: (i) growing foreign participation in Brazil's domestic Treasury markets has increased the sensitivity of the...

Easy monetary conditions in advanced economies have played an important role in determining domestic monetary conditions in emerging market economies (EMEs), notably through the exchange rate and domestic bond yields. How can EME central banks best react to such external influences? Using a...