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In this paper we analyze a basic sticky price model with monopolistic competition and price stickiness à la Calvo. Starting by the relations describing a general economic equilibrium model (see Woodford in Interest and Prices, Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy, The MIT Press, 2003), as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562427
The traditional economic theory suggests that changes in the money supply or in the interest rates can influence the business cycle, but not the long-run potential output. In other words, monetary policy is neutral over the long-run. In this paper we use some new developments in econometrics to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562938
In this study, we set up a framework to generate the forecasts of growth in aggregate demand and its components using real-time data. In general, these forecasts (for 1983-2008) accurately predict directional change under symmetric loss and are thus of value to a user who assigns similar cost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008562952
We compare the behavior of short term interest rates in hard-peg and floating-exchange-rate countries. We use a framework which allows both domestic and foreign factors to play a role in the determination of interest rates and assess them empirically for eight Latin American countries between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563091
Recent movements in oil prices on international markets have generated many comments on the role that oil prices may play for Central Banks of oil-importing countries, oil price shocks being interpreted as supply shocks leading to higher inflation rates and lower economic growth. In this paper,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563108
The paper estimates McCallum and Taylor monetary policy reaction functions, and hybrids mixing instruments and targets from the two frameworks, for 20 emerging market economies. McCallum-Taylor specifications with an interest rate instrument and a nominal income gap target perform better than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563374
The successful implementation of the monetary policy in practice to a large extent depends on the understanding of the functioning of the transmission mechanism of the monetary policy – the channels by which the monetary impulses are transmitted through the economy. In this paper, an analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563424
The aim of this paper is to develop a comprehensive analysis of the shock therapy model of transition. As such the model requires an analysis of what I define as the primary elements: economic analysis, definition of a good society, speed, political structure, ideological structure and initial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563451
This article discusses the relationship between fiscal and monetary policies, considering different cases: government budget constraint and the wealth effect, determining the corresponding multipliers. The value of these multipliers will denote the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The article...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008564034
The Third Phase of the European Economic and Monetary Union and the consequent implementation of the Unique Monetary Policy, advised EU countries to coordinate their fiscal policies, because of the relations between monetary and fiscal policies. The application of the Stability Pact has reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008564087