Forward-looking monetary policy communication has become a key element of flexible inflation-targeting regimes across advanced and emerging market economies. The Reserve Bank of India’s implementation of a flexible inflation targeting framework since 2016 has been supported by a broad set of...

This paper evaluates inflation forecasts made by Norges Bank which is recognized as a successful forecast targeting central bank. It is reasonable to expect that Norges Bank produces inflation forecasts that are on average better than other forecasts, both 'naïve' forecasts, and forecasts...

Since 1981, monetary policy in Singapore has been centred on managing the trade-weighted nominal effective exchange rate, which has a powerful and predictable influence on domestic prices in a small, open economy. However, given Singapore’s exchange rate-based monetary policy framework and...

Central banks should not be in the business of trying to prick asset price bubbles. Bubbles generally arise out of some combination of irrational exuberance, technological jumps, and financial deregulation (with more of the second in equity price bubbles and more of the third in real estate...

The 1990s and early 2000s witnessed an unprecedented increase in central bank transparency around the world, yet there has been little empirical work that convincingly demonstrates any economic benefits of increased central bank transparency. This paper shows that, since the late 1980s, U.S,...

This paper investigates the relationship between central bank (reverse) auctions and bill market liquidity. The analysis includes data on the purchases of bills in the auctions by the Dutch Central Bank under the European Central Bank's Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP). The results...

As economies recover from the pandemic, major central banks are beginning “lift-off.” This paper looks at issues beyond lift-off to full normalization or “cruising altitude.” Two novel models are used: 1) a yield curve model where the riskless rate is computed directly from bond yields...

This paper investigates the relationship between central bank (reverse) auctions and bill market liquidity. The analysis includes data on the purchases of bills in the auctions by the Dutch Central Bank under the European Central Bank’s Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP). The results...

This paper investigates whether financial markets stability matters in setting monetary policy in the case of the European Central Bank and Bank of England over the period 2003-2018. We adopt a forward-looking version of the Taylor rule as well as a Tri-mandate Taylor rule and we show that they...

This paper studies the effects of harmonizing collateral policy in a monetary union. In 2007, the European Central Bank replaced national collateral lists with a single list specifying which assets euro area banks can pledge as collateral. Banks holding newly eligible assets experience a...