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In our model, cross-currency basis, which captures the deviations from covered interest rate parity (CIP), reflects the relative value of the scarcer currency (US dollar) as collateral in funding constraints. Our empirical evidence shows that measures of dollar shortage derived from ECB tenders,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098803
We estimate the effects of the Federal Reserve’s Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facilities (SMCCF) on corporate bond market liquidity, yield, bond valuations and firm-level outcomes. Using comprehensive data on secondary market transactions in a diff-in-diff analysis, we find the SMCCF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220064
The secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) is the successor to LIBOR (London interbank offered rate) as a benchmark rate for lending in US dollars. Our results show that the SOFR aligns with the Federal Reserve's policy target more closely than LIBOR. In addition, short-term market rates are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222020
Monetary policy shocks that convey new macroeconomic information are significant predictors of both the absolute and risk-adjusted returns from value investing. Positive Fed information shocks lead to higher subsequent value returns. Crashes in the returns of value investing are most likely to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013231644
This article assesses the communication of the European Central Bank (ECB) using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. We show the evolution of discourse over time and capture the main themes of interest for the central bank that go beyond its traditional mandate of maintaining price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238353
This study investigates the announcement effects of the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) ETF purchase program on equity prices, focusing on the policy change made on March 19, 2021 when the BOJ announced that it would no longer purchase Nikkei225-tracking and JPX400-tracking ETFs but would purchase more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291746
I show that the well-documented pre-FOMC drift and high returns on FOMC day are realized only on the small subset of FOMC days preceded by key macro data releases. On the other two-thirds of all FOMC days, there is neither drift nor any announcement premium. Predictors of pre-FOMC drift (VIX and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294012
We have documented a regime change in the U.S. Treasury market post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We first derived bounds on Treasury yields that account for dealer balance sheet costs, which we call the net short and net long curves. We show that actual Treasury yields moved from the net short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277487
We document regime change in the U.S. Treasury market post-Global Financial Crisis (GFC): dealers switched from a net short to a net long position in the Treasury market. We first derive bounds on Treasury yields that account for dealer balance sheet costs, which we call the net short and net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334440
This paper investigates the relationship between central bank (reverse) auctions and bill market liquidity. The analysis includes data on the purchases of bills in the auctions by the Dutch Central Bank under the European Central Bank's Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP). The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013337422