A key challenge for Lesotho is the downward rigidity in public expenditure-which increases when SACU transfers are buoyant but fails to be pared back when they fall. Fiscal rules would be of value in Lesotho to help provide constraints on spending and resist political pressure to overspend,...

Chapter 1 argues that fiscal policy should remain nimble and strengthen its medium-term frameworks, as countries face highly uncertain and differentiated prospects. Vaccination has saved lives and is helping fuel a nascent recovery, but risks are elevated amidst new virus variants, high debt,...

This Selected Issues paper examines Sweden's corporate vulnerabilities and focuses on commercial real estate (CRE). Liquidity premia on funding costs will undermine CRE profits and lead to the increase in credit risk premia, amplifying the original shock. Stress tests indicate that CREs face...

Belgium's current policies fall short of achieving its climate targets and promoting emissions reductions at limited economic costs. We recommend that domestic carbon pricing form the centerpiece of an emissions reduction package, as pricing promotes mitigation at the lowest economic cost, can...

Fiscal decentralization in Belgium progressed substantially in 2015-19. However, as decentralization of expenditure responsibilities continued to outpace decentralization of revenue authority, vertical fiscal gaps and greater reliance on transfers from shared resources may have reduced spending...

This technical assistance report on Costa Rica discusses upgrading the rule-based fiscal framework. A principles-based classification would allay political pressure for ad-hoc exclusions. The criteria should follow the statistical principles of the Government Finance Statistics Manual: entities...

This Selected Issues paper presents stylized facts about food insecurity in Nigeria, investigates its drivers in a cross-country setting, and assesses the role of policies. The paper describes regional aspects of Nigeria's food insecurity and compares the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 and...

Sub-Saharan African countries have been hit, in recent years, by a cascading series of shocks that have exacerbated fiscal vulnerabilities. Significant reforms are needed to rebuild buffers and preserve the sustainability of public finances. The paper argues that a strategic approach to fiscal...

This Selected Issues paper analyzes inflation dynamics in Australia, with a special focus on wages. The paper finds inflation dynamics in Australia are similar to what is seen in most advanced economies in recent quarters, with inflation primarily driven by cyclically sensitive components. While...

We compute a GVAR to estimate the fiscal spillovers on output, consumption, investment, employment, and income, from 2002Q1 to 2021Q4, with 16 Euro Area (EA) countries. We found that a budget balance expansionary shock in Germany would generate positive spillovers on output and employment....