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expectations, using a survey conducted in Spain by PwC, among a panel of experts and entrepreneurs. When analysing the headline … inflation rate, our results suggest that the PwC panel has some forecasting ability for time horizons from 3 to 9 months … inflation used. As for the consistency properties of the inflation expectations formation process, we find that panel members …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929567
We examine the predictive ability, the consistency properties and the possible driving forces of inflation expectations … rate, our results suggest that the PwC panel has some forecasting ability for time horizons from 3 to 9, improving when it … for the consistency properties of the inflation expectations formation process, we find that panel members form …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778734
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406535
-herd and "lean against the wind" when forecasting exchange rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646853
This study examines what role the concept of endogenous uncertainty can have in explaining a phenomenon of international financial markets, the forward discount bias. The forward discount bias puzzle is unexplained by models assuming economic agents have full knowledge of the structure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010878167
Empirical studies using surveys of exchange rate expectations have become very popular in the literature. The majority … in determining expectations, thus offering support for the Post Keynesian view of currency markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008675819
reversion and assume that relative prices are unchanged. Direct forecasting or panel data techniques are better than the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856403
We used the foreign-exchange rate forecasts of the Consensus Economics Inc. poll to analyze whether exchange-rate forecasters herd or anti-herd. Forecasters herd (anti-herd) if their forecasts are biased towards (away from) the consensus. Upon implementing a robust empirical test developed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008922826
The impact of institutional quality on the exchange rate-export relation is assessed in a panel of 33 countries and quarterly time period of 1991Q1- 2016Q3. Empirical estimation is conducted in 2 steps. As a first step, using panel DOLS, FMOLS and PMG estimation techniques, it is confirmed that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011715696
better quality than PPP. The MB approach has the most appealing economic interpretation, but performs poorly in forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139745