Let S be a Polish space and (Xn : n = 1) an exchangeable sequence of S-valued random variables. Let an(·) = P( Xn+1 in · | X1, . . . ,Xn) be the predictive measure and a a random probability measure on S such that an (weak) -- a a.s.. Two (related) problems are addressed. One is to give...

The definition of vectors of dependent random probability measures is a topic of interest in applications to Bayesian statistics. They, indeed, represent dependent nonparametric prior distributions that are useful for modelling observables for which specific covariate values are known. In this...

Let µn be a probability measure on the Borel sigma-field on D[0, 1] with respect to Skorohod distance, n = 0. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the following statement are provided. On some probability space, there are D[0, 1]-valued random variables Xn such that Xn tilde µn for all n =...

Calvo pricing implies output gains, while Rotemberg pricing implies output losses after a disinflation. Introducing real wage rigidities has opposite effects: it generates a long-lasting boom in output in Calvo, and a moderate output slump in Rotemberg.

We propose a new method for the objective comparison of two nested models based on non-local priors. More specifically, starting with a default prior under each of the two models, we construct a moment prior under the larger model, and then use the fractional Bayes factor for a comparison....

We analyze the general (multiallelic) Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium problem from an objective Bayesian testing standpoint. We argue that for small or moderate sample sizes the answer is rather sensitive to the prior chosen, and this suggests to carry out a sensitivity analysis with respect to the...

Questo lavoro analizza il ruolo esercitato dal trasporto aereo passeggeri nel favorire la capacità esportativa del manifatturiero italiano ruotando attorno a due interrogativi principali. In primo luogo, vuole verificare se la presenza di servizi di trasporto aereo passeggeri abbia o meno un...

This paper extends the standard New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model to agents who cannot smooth consumption (i.e. spenders) and are affected by external consumption habits. Although these assumptions are not new, their joint consideration strongly affects some...

This paper investigates the pricing of full deposit insurance in Germany in the context of its political promise by the German government. We implement the characteristics of the mutual guarantee framework of German banks and the specifics of the German deposit insurance system into a Monte...

Let (omega,F,P) be a probability space. For each G in F, define G as the s-field generated by G and those sets f in F satisfying P(f) in {0, 1}. Conditions for P to be atomic on the intersection of the complements of Ai for i=1,..,k, with A1, . . . ,Ak in F sub-s-fields, are given. Conditions...