Quantitative investment strategies are often selected from a broad class of candidate models estimated and tested on historical data. Standard statistical techniques to prevent model overfitting such as out-sample backtesting turn out to be unreliable in situations when the selection is based on...

This paper examines several Bayesian methods of obtaining posterior probability density functions of the Atkinson inequality measure and its associated social welfare function, in the context of grouped income distribution data. The methods are compared with asymptotic standard errors. The role...

Many Bayesian Confirmation Measures have been proposed so far. They are used to assess the degree to which an evidence (or premise) E supports or contradicts an hypothesis (or conclusion) H, making use of prior probability P(H), posterior probability P(H|E) and of probability of evidence P(E)....