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This paper provides an analysis of the link between the global market for crude oil and oil futures risk premium at the aggregate level. It off ers empirical evidence on whether the compensation for risk required by the speculators depends on the type of the structural shock of interest....
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We analyze the relation between volatility and speculative activities in the crude oil futures market and provide short …-term forecasts accordingly. By incorporating trading volume and opening interest (speculative ratio) into the volatility dynamics, we … document the subtle interaction between the two measures of which the volatility-averse behavior of speculative activities …
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