Recent work on expectations suggests that professional forecasters may have incentives that lead them to make more extreme forecasts than they would make were accuracy the only criterion. We use the interest rate and exchange rate forecasts from the Wall Street Journal?s panel of economists to...

This paper analyses the consequences of the Nixon Administration’s policy of wage-price controls and finds that the controls were essentially ineffective in reducing inflation.

The objective of this paper is to characterize the interaction of the current account with its determinants using quarterly time series data for Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States from 1970 to 2005. The empirical work adopts a VAR (Vector Autoregressive) framework to capture the...

In this dissertation, we analyze whether the noise ratio statistic of Durlauf and Hall (1989), NRT, can be used as a non-nested model selection tool in a similar fashion to the Rivers and Vuong (2002) framework. For this purpose, we first show that, when scaled by the sample size T, NRT is...

This dissertation revisits the literature on the role of exchange rate flexibility in smoothing the adjustments of the economy to different disturbances. Recently, the role of flexible exchange rates in stabilizing the economy against real shocks has been challenged by the new open economy...

This dissertation examines the role of bank structure on the effectiveness of monetary policy. Using time series data for U.S. banks, I examine the varying effect of monetary policy on bank lending for the period 1976-2003. It is found that as the banking industry gets more concentrated (through...

In this dissertation, we are interested in the relationships among monetary policy, stock prices and exchange rates. This thesis argues that on the one hand, monetary policy affects both stock prices and the exchange rate, on the other hand, stock prices and exchange rates affect monetary policy...