We examine whether and how payout policy affects credit risk using evidence from the credit default swap (CDS) market. CDS spreads increase substantially in response to announcements of dividend cuts, especially during recessions and among firms experiencing financial distress. CDS spreads also...

We propose a new, price-based measure of information risk called abnormal idiosyncratic volatility (AIV) that captures information asymmetry faced by uninformed investors. AIV is the idiosyncratic volatility prior to information events in excess of normal levels. Using earnings announcements as...

We present an analytical framework for the forward-looking measurement of extreme market risk. In contrast to standard techniques relying on past return data, we propose to extract Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall under the physical measure from current option prices. Our empirical evidence...

This paper pertains to the controversy surrounding the explanatory power of certain firm-specific variables such as size and the book-to-market ratio in cross-sections of average stock returns. To investigate whether these firm-specific variables capture the sensitivity of returns to unobserved...

In this paper, we investigate the methodological issue of determining the number of state variables required for options pricing. After showing the inadequacy of the principal component analysis approach, which is commonly used in the literature, we adopt a nonparametric regression technique...

This paper develops a test of the asymptotic arbitrage pricing theory (APT) via the maximum squared Sharpe ratio of the factors extracted from individual stocks using the Connor-Korajczyk method. The test treats the beta pricing relation as approximate without predetermining the systematic...

This paper investigates the responsiveness of the Chinese government's monetary policies in terms of the money supply and interest rates to economic conditions and the effectiveness of these policies in achieving the goals of stimulating economic growth and controlling inflation. We analyze the...

In this paper we investigate the properties of the standard two-pass methodology of testing beta pricing models with misspecified factors. In a setting where a factor is useless, defined as being independent of all the asset returns, we provide theoretical results and simulation evidence that...