This paper estimates the natural interest rate for six small open economies (Australia, Canada, South Korea, Sweden, Switzerland and the U.K.) with a structural New Keynesian model using Bayesian techniques. Our empirical analysis establishes the following four novel findings: First, we show...

Following the 2000 stockmarket crash, have US interest rates been held too low in relation to their natural level? Most likely, yes. Using a structural neo-Keynesian model, this paper attempts a real-time evaluation of the US monetary policy stance while ensuring consistency between the...

We present a simple stock-ow consistent (SFC) model to discuss some recent claims made by Angel Asensio in the Journal of Post Keynesian Economics regarding the relationship between endogenous money theory and the liquidity preference theory of the rate of interest. We incorporate Asensio's...

We apply complexity theory to financial markets to show that excess liquidity created by the Eurosystem has led to critical transitions in the configuration of interest rates. Complexity indicators turn out to be useful signals of tipping points and subsequent regime shifts in interest rates. We...

Karl Marx (1867) defined profit rate as the upper limit of interest rate, and claimed that actual interest rate must be somewhere below this limit. Detesting the uncertainty, Joan Robinson (1959) simply set interest rate to Marx’s profit rate. This paper disproves Robinson