This paper is concerned with a general class of observation-driven models for time series of counts whose conditional distributions given past observations and explanatory variables follow a Poisson distribution. These models provide a flexible framework for modelling a wide range of dependence...

We discuss a maximum likelihood procedure for estimating parameters in possibly noncausal autoregressive processes driven by i.i.d. non-Gaussian noise. Under appropriate conditions, estimates of the parameters that are solutions to the likelihood equations exist and are asymptotically normal....

LetX1, ..., Xnbe observations from a multivariate AR(p) model with unknown orderp. A resampling procedure is proposed for estimating the orderp. The classical criteria, such as AIC and BIC, estimate the orderpas the minimizer of the function[formula]wherenis the sample size,kis the order...

We present a new parametric model for the angular measure of a multivariate extreme value distribution. Unlike many parametric models that are limited to the bivariate case, the flexible model can describe the extremes of random vectors of dimension greater than two. The novel construction...