Despite the importance of probability assessment methods in behavioral decision theory and decision analysis, little attention has been directed at evaluating their reliability and validity. In fact, no comprehensive study of reliability has been undertaken. Since reliability is a necessary...

ln this study we compare the probability judgment accuracy of subjects from the United States and Turkey. Three different response modes were employed - numerical probabilities, pie diagrams, and odds. The questions employed in the study were restricted to two-alternative. general-knowledge...