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We document empirically that the 2007-09 Global Financial Crisis exposed emerging market economies (EMEs) to an adverse feedback loop of capital outflows, depreciating exchange rates, deteriorating balance sheets, rising credit spreads and falling real economic activity. In order to account for...
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We provide a theory on how a wider foreign lending base of local-currency sovereign debt may lead to destabilising effects (the original sin redux). Bond sell-offs by foreigners induce domestic banks to fund the government, reducing the credit for investment and tightening financial conditions....
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We provide a theory on currency dynamics, capital flows and conditions for central bank asset purchases to leave room for manoeuvre on conventional monetary policy. Asset purchases ease financial conditions and boost banks’ foreign borrowing capacity. The ensuing capital inflows lead to an...
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