We find that three factors – cryptocurrency market, size, and momentum – capture the cross-sectional expected cryptocurrency returns. We consider a comprehensive list of price- and market-related factors in the stock market, and construct their cryptocurrency counterparts. Nine...

In the late 1980s, the vast majority of Russians supported pro-Western economic and political transformation. Although transition to market and democracy has eventually delivered economic benefits, most Russians are now skeptical about Western economic and political values. In this article we...

We augment a standard global coordination game along the lines of Morris and Shin (1998) by an asset market where prices are determined in a noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium. We study the implications of information aggregation through prices for equilibrium selection arguments in global...

We develop a stylized currency crises model with heterogeneous information among investors and endogenous determination of interest rates in a noisy rational expectations equilibrium. Our model captures three key features of interest rates: the opportunity cost of attacking the currency responds...

We develop a dynamic nonlinear, noisy REE model of credit risk pricing under dispersed information that can theoretically and quantitatively account for the credit spread puzzle. The first contribution is a sharp analytical characterization of the dynamic REE equilibrium and its comparative...

We develop a dynamic nonlinear, noisy REE model of credit risk pricing un- der dispersed information that can theoretically and quantitatively account for the credit spread puzzle. The first contribution is a sharp analytical characteri- zation of the dynamic REE equilibrium and its comparative...

We analyze investment incentives and risk-taking by firms when equity markets aggregate information with noise. Noisy information aggregation drives a wedge between the expected social value and the market value of investments, inducing inefficient rent-seeking by incumbent shareholders and...