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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003401525
Market-based measures of inflation expectations can be derived either from the difference between yields on nominal and … inflation-linked government bonds or from inflation swap rates. These measures are important indicators of the outlook for … inflation and are monitored regularly by the United Kingdom's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), alongside other measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014543
Using panel data models, we analyze the flypaper effects-whether intergovernmental fiscal transfers or states' own income determine expenditure commitments - on ecological fiscal spending in India. The econometric results show that the unconditional fiscal transfers, rather than the states' own...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012596963
Using market prices of inflation-linked bonds and nominal bonds issued by the French Treasury, both the real and … evidence on the benefits of hedging portfolios against real interest rate and inflation risks rather than against nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990025
inflation-linked bonds (ILB mispricing) in the G7 government bond markets, and extends the slow moving capital explanation of … the persistence of arbitrage mispricing in financial markets. Nominal bonds are “richer” than cash-flow matched inflation … which represents more than eight percent of the total size of the G7 inflation-linked bond markets. Furthermore, the index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089585
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008652594
This paper investigates the impact of revisions in inflation expectations on the prices of UK inflation-indexed and … conventional government bonds with a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Downwards revisions of inflation expectations are … affected. This suggests that indexed bonds protect investors against inflation while nominal bonds are exposed to changing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294028
This paper examines the information content of inflation forecasts derived using index-linked and conventional bonds …. The paper finds that the derived inflation term structure (ITS) gives a somewhat better indication of the bond market …'s inflation expectation than can be derived using either the nominal term structure or a variant employing strong assumptions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067707
This paper evaluates the properties of nominal interest rates as indicators of inflation expectations. Are they … sets. The results show that the interest rate level is a reasonably good indicator of the level of inflation expectations …. However, changes in interest rates are poor indicators of changes in inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095891
structure reflects changing expectations of future yields and inflation. This analysis shows that the presence of time … less than five years. By contrast, variations in inflation expected over the next two to three years are very accurately … term structures closely track changing expectations regarding future nominal and real yields but not future inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131069