This article analyses agents’ perception of the period of low inflation in recent years, in the context of a model in … to be drawn between which portion of the low inflation phenomenon might be due to temporary factors and which might be … considered permanent. The results of the analysis for the euro area suggest that agents perceive the inflation rate’s recent …

This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …

A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969 …. Private sector learning about policymaker type leads to a reputation state variable. We use model inflation forecasting rules … to extract state variables from SPF inflation forecasts. US inflation is tracked by optimal policy without commitment …