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We consider a stochastic game between a trader and a central bank in a target zone market with a lower currency peg. This currency peg is maintained by the central bank through the generation of permanent price impact, thereby aggregating an ever increasing risky position in foreign reserves. We...
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This paper presents the first evidence that retail investors play a central role in a speculative attack. Investigating the attacks that affected several emerging economies in the second semester of 2018, I document a strong influence of investor attention on the price and risk of the currency...
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This paper develops a stochastic equilibrium model of an open economy incorporating speculation in the forward exchange … market. The model is used to examine two issues. The first is the role of speculation in stabilizing the economy against … stochastic disturbances. Much risk averse speculation stabilizes domestic income against disturbances in the domestic bond market …
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