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Today we live in a post-truth and highly digitalized era characterized by a flow of (mis-) information around the world. Identifying the impact of this information on stock markets and forecasting stock returns and volatilities has become a much more difficult task, perhaps almost impossible....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039605
The European Central Bank's asset purchase programs, while intended to stabilize the economy, may have unintended side effects on financial stability. This paper aims at gauging the effects on financial markets, the banking sector, and lending to non-financial firms. Using a structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011712553
I explore the time-varying effects of the multi-dimensional aspect of monetary policy on asset prices and macroeconomic variables using a time-varying factor-augmented vector autoregressive model. I decompose monetary policy into three dimensions: current monetary policy stance, FOMC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313991
these news components. The authors propose an alternative MP shock identification approach to analyze the MP effects on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012658788
the real economy, I find that the asset purchase shock has significant effects on consumer and professional expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022250
Bayesian VAR on monthly US macroeconomic and financial data, we first identify the US QE shock. The identified US QE shock is … expansionary US QE shock has significant effects on financial variables in EMEs. It leads to an exchange rate appreciation, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011786694
The 2008 financial crisis has shown that financial busts can influence the real economy. However, there is less evidence to suggest that the same holds for financial booms. Using a Markov-Switching vector autoregressive model and euro area data, I show that financial booms tend to be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011617592
In this paper, I use high-frequency financial market estimates to identify the monetary policy shock in a non …-recursive 133 variable FAVAR. All restrictions are imposed exclusively on impact, and only on financial market variables. Using the … scheme does not fall back on any of the standard (FA)VAR identifying assumptions, it confirms the classical finding that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079937
In this paper, I use high-frequency financial market estimates to identify the monetary policy shock in a non …-recursive 133 variable FAVAR. All restrictions are imposed exclusively on impact, and only on financial market variables. Using the … scheme does not fall back on any of the standard (FA)VAR identifying assumptions, it confirms the classical finding that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320737
reduction in stress in corporate and sovereign debt markets after an asset purchase shock. We disentangle the effect among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795397