and data. Second, because the NK model's predictions differ by the nature of the shock, we present evidence on the … procyclical conditional on a technology shock. However, we find that they are either procyclical or acyclical conditional on …

and data. Second, because the NK model's predictions differ by the nature of the shock, we present evidence on the … procyclical conditional on a technology shock. However, we find that they are either procyclical or acyclical conditional on …

(confirmed in the panel analysis). On the other hand, a supply shock has a more mixed effect …