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We develop a general econometric model of currency crises and contagion that integrates a number of important features appearing in many different models recently proposed in the literature. In particular, we consider a Markov regime switching vector autoregression conditional heteroskedastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065314
” reduces the total trading volume and price volatility, and improves the trend chasers’ welfare when trend-chasing is strong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065617
This paper presents instrumental variables estimates of the effects of GDP per capita volatility on the size of … government. We show that for a panel of 157 countries spanning more than half a century, rainfall volatility has a significant … positive effect on GDP per capita volatility in countries with above median temperatures. In these countries rainfall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065944
This paper performs a quantitative analysis of iron ore prices. The analysis will focus on two general issues. First, are prices more volatile before or after the introduction of spot market pricing in 2008/2009? Second, has the change in pricing regime had a significant effect on the iron ore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011066011
with drift zero and with a diffusion coefficient (volatility) which depends in a particular way on the instantaneous stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390700
We present a methodology based on Fourier series analysis to compute time series volatility when the data are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390725
undesirable feature of predicting that the asymptotic value of the short rate volatility is zero. This theoretical result is … reverting Gaussian option values. In other words, the volatility in the rational lognormal model declines so quickly that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390726
employment volatility levels across Canadian regions during the period 1976-1997. Using cross-sectional analysis, we indicate … associated with decreased volatility in larger regions, but these variables have the opposite effect for smaller regions. The … decreased. The former tends to dampen volatility and the latter tends to magnify it. When these offsetting effects are taken …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005391081
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005398580
exist. Concerning the controversial issues we find that (i) volatility effects depend on the existence of tax havens and on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005399040