This paper provides an analysis of the predictability of stock returns using market, industry, and firm-level earnings. Contrary to Lamont (1998), we find that neither dividend payout ratio nor the level of aggregate earnings can forecast the excess market return. We show that these variables do...

The investor composition in the US stock market has been undergoing a dramatic shift towards greater institutional ownership. In this paper, we show that the increase in the stock ownership by institutions over time, especially those with focus on short-term performance, is positively related to...

We examine how the provision of quarterly earnings guidance is affected by constraints on earnings management. We argue that costs of falling short of one's own guidance make managers reluctant to issue guidance without sufficient flexibility in their financial reporting system to manage...

In this dissertation, I examine the impact of earnings management and expectations management on the usefulness of earnings and analyst forecasts in firm valuation. Earnings and analyst forecasts are important inputs into accounting valuation models. Their ability to reflect current and predict...

This paper articulates the links between relevance of an earnings component in forecasting (abnormal) earnings and its relevance in valuation in a nonlinear framework. The analysis shows that forecasting relevance does not imply valuation relevance even though valuation irrelevance is implied by...

We provide archival evidence on how a particular type of supplementary information affects the credibility of management earnings forecasts. Managers often provide detailed forecasts of specific income statement line items to shed light on how they plan to achieve their bottom-line earnings...

This teaching guide is based on a comprehensive survey as well as in-depth interviews of Chief Financial Officers (CFOs). We ask the CFOs about the definition and drivers of earnings quality, with a special emphasis on the prevalence and detection of earnings misrepresentation. CFOs believe that...

In the wake of Enron-era scandals, practitioners warn that earnings guidance invites earnings management as executives scramble to achieve previously announced targets. Concurrent academic studies show that company executives manage earnings to achieve benchmark targets. This study attempts to...