Similar Search Results

Score driven exponentially weighted moving average and value-at-risk forecasting

Lucas, André; Zhang, Xin - 2014

dynamics of higher-order moments, and to the other preferred choice of forecasting distribution. We apply our method to Value …-at-Risk forecasting with Student's t distributions and show that the new method is competitive to or better than earlier methods for … volatility forecasting of stock returns and exchange rates. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384110

Threshold models in time series analysis : some reflections

Tong, Howell - In: Journal of econometrics 189 (2015) 2, pp. 485-491

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011504634

Improved beta modeling and forecasting : an unobserved component approach with conditional heteroscedastic disturbances

Ortas, E.; Salvador, Manuel; Moneva, J. M. - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 31 (2015), pp. 27-51

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011511029

Testing for structural breaks in correlations : does it improve Value-at-Risk forecasting?

Berens, Tobias; Weiß, Gregor; Wied, Dominik - In: Journal of empirical finance 32 (2015), pp. 135-152

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011556809

Forecasting VaR using analytic higher moments for GARCH processes

Alexander, Carol; Lazar, Emese; Stanescu, Silvia - In: International review of financial analysis 30 (2013), pp. 36-45

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460001

Range-based volatility estimation and forecasting

Benčík, Daniel - 2014

In this paper, we analyze new possibilities in predicting daily ranges, i.e. differences between daily high and low prices. We empirically assess efficiency gains in volatility estimation when using range-based estimators as opposed to simple daily ranges and explore the use of these more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010461231