This paper is a first attempt at evaluating the determinants of the interest rate differentials on government bonds between high yielders, namely Italy, Spain and Sweden, and Germany. In particular the authors concentrate on daily frequencies, where the relevance of economic fundamentals is...

The objective of this paper is to investigate the relation between error correction and forward looking models for the U.K. consumers' expenditure on nondurable goods and services. The author establishes conditions under which the error correction model cannot be considered a reduced form of a...

The rate of inflation in the U.S. has declined from an average of 4.5% in the period 1960-79 to an average of 3.6% in 1980-98. Between those two periods, the standard deviations of inflation and the output gap have also declined. These facts can be attributed to the interaction of three possible...

This paper allows for the effect of taxation in the econometric model for the analysis of exploration and production policies of "price taking suppliers" recently proposed in Pesaran (1990). The tax system in the UKCS is not neutral, therefore the separation of the "deep" parameters in the model...

This paper shows how to decompose weakly stationary time series into the sum, across time scales, of uncorrelated components associated with different degrees of persistence. In particular, we provide an Extended Wold Decomposition based on an isometric scaling operator that makes averages of...

This paper shows how to decompose weakly stationary time series into the sum, across time scales, of uncorrelated components associated with different degrees of persistence. In particular, we provide an Extended Wold Decomposition based on an isometric scaling operator...

We view economic time series as the result of a cascade of shocks occurring at different times and different frequencies (scales). We suggest that economic relations that are found to be elusive when using raw data may hold true for different layers (details) in the cascade of economic shocks....

The dynamic dividend growth model (Campbell&Shiller, 1988) linking the log dividend yield to future expected dividend growth and stock market returns has been extensively used in the literature for forecasting stock returns. The empirical evidence on the performance of the model is mixed as its...

This paper documents the existence of a slowly evolving trend in the log dividend-price ratio, DP<italic>null</italic>, determined by a demographic variable, MY<italic>null</italic>: the middle-aged to young ratio. Deviations of DP<italic>null</italic> from this long-run component explain transitory but persistent fluctuations in stock market...