We study the relationship between cyclical job and worker flows at the plant level using a new data set spanning from 1976-2006. We find that procyclical labor demand explains relatively little of procyclical worker flows. Instead, all plants in the employment growth distribution increase their...

Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, this paper examines the flow of U.S. households within and between two distinct segments of the housing market - renter-occupied properties and owner-occupied properties. The paper provides relevant empirical moments for microfounded models of...

We study the relationship between cyclical job and worker flows at the establishment level using the new German AWFP dataset spanning from 1975-2014. We find that worker turnover moves more procyclical than job turnover. This procyclical worker churn takes place along the entire employment...

This paper provides survey evidence on firms’ subjective uncertainty about future sales growth from a new representative panel data set of the German manufacturing sector. The main finding is that uncertainty reflects change: firms report more subjective uncertainty after either high or low...

Clemens Fuest und Niklas Potrafke, beide ifo Institut und LMU München, diskutieren, ob die deutsche Schuldenbremse einer ökonomisch sinnvollen Staatsverschuldung im Weg stehe. Forschungsergebnisse legten nahe: Wenn die Politik Haushaltsdefizite, Verschuldungsquoten sowie Risikoprämien auf...

When employers face a trade-off between growing large and paying low wages—that is, when they have monopsony power—some productive employers will decide to acquire fewer customers, forgo sales, and remain small. These decisions have adverse consequences for aggregate labor productivity....

Die Auswirkungen des Kriegs in der Ukraine auf die deutsche Wirtschaft sind bereits spürbar. Welche Erwartungen haben die deutschen Firmen bezüglich ihrer Umsätze, und mit welchen Unsicherheiten sind diese Erwartungen verbunden? Die Konjunkturumfrage des ifo Instituts vom April 2022, die auch...