Clemens Fuest und Niklas Potrafke, beide ifo Institut und LMU München, diskutieren, ob die deutsche Schuldenbremse einer ökonomisch sinnvollen Staatsverschuldung im Weg stehe. Forschungsergebnisse legten nahe: Wenn die Politik Haushaltsdefizite, Verschuldungsquoten sowie Risikoprämien auf...

We study the relationship between cyclical job and worker flows at the plant level using a new data set spanning from 1976-2006. We find that procyclical labor demand explains relatively little of procyclical worker flows. Instead, all plants in the employment growth distribution increase their...

Using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, this paper examines the flow of U.S. households within and between two distinct segments of the housing market - renter-occupied properties and owner-occupied properties. The paper provides relevant empirical moments for microfounded models of...

In the United States, 15 percent of households change residence in a given year. This result is based on data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics on gross flows within and between the two segments of the housing market-renter-occupied properties and owner-occupied properties. The gross flows...

We find that worker turnover is more procyclical than job turnover. Procyclical worker churn result almost exclusively from job-to-job transitions. The size and cyclical properties of churn are close to uniform along the entire employment growth distribution of establishments. Even shrinking...

We study the relationship between employment growth and worker flows in excess of job flows (churn) at the establishment level using the new German AWFP dataset spanning from 1975–2014. Churn is above 5 percent of employment along the entire employment growth distribution and most pronounced...

Der sogenannten Mainstream-Ökonomie wird vorgeworfen, ihren Methoden liege ein zu einfaches Menschenbild zugrunde, sie sei geschichtsvergessen, und sie habe nicht rechtzeitig vor der Finanzkrise gewarnt. Wirtschaftswissenschaftler verschiedener Richtungen debattieren hier darüber, was...

Mit der bevorstehenden Bundestagswahl öffnet sich ein neues Möglichkeitsfenster für die Finanzpolitik in Deutschland. Vertreter:innen unterschiedlicher Parteien machen sich dafür stark, die Finanzpolitik neu auszurichten. Mit US-Präsident Biden ist es in den USA bereits zu neuen...

What are the macroeconomic consequences of changes in residential mortgage market loan-to-value (LTV) ratios? In a structural VAR, real GDP and business investment increase significantly following an expansionary LTV shock. The impact on residential investment, however, is contingent on the...

We study the relationship between cyclical job and worker flows at the establishment level using the new German AWFP dataset spanning from 1975-2014. We find that worker turnover moves more procyclical than job turnover. This procyclical worker churn takes place along the entire employment...