The notion of a ripple effect in the UK housing market implies stationarity in regional:national house price ratios. In this paper a new means of examining this issue is proposed which involves the joint application of a powerful unit root test and a test of stationarity. In contrast to the...

The consistent threshold estimation method is used to improve the threshold specification of the Granger-Lee asymmetric error correction model. Although only previously considered in the context of univariate analysis, the approach is found to uncover asymmetry undetected under the typical...

In recent research Leybourne and co-workers examined the behaviour of the Dickey-Fuller τ test in the presence of structural breaks under the null. It was found that breaks in either level or drift occurring early in the sample period resulted in severe size distortion, with the unit root...

The potential forecasting bias of asymmetric error correction models is examined via an application of the Granger and Lee and Escribano and Pfann specifications to the earlier data of Davidson et al. Cook's results concerning sample space regularities are extended, with partitioning of the...

Cook recently revisited the seminal study of Granger and Lee on asymmetric error correction. Formal criteria found asymmetry to be detected less frequently than was initially suggested by informal inspection. Further results on the detection of asymmetry using the original author's data are...

Granger and Lee (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, 1989) contains seminal research on nonsymmetric error correction, where the familiar error correction term is partitioned into positive and negative elements. Cook et al. (Applied Economics, 1998) have recently argued that for this no...

The potential cointegrating relationship between stock prices and economic activity suggested by financial and economic theory is examined. It is found that the commonly employed tests of Engle and Granger (1987) and Johansen (1988) fail to detect cointegration between stock prices and...

This article reexamines the living arrangements of children following their parents’ divorce, using Wisconsin Court Records, updating an analysis that showed relatively small but significant increases in shared custody in the late 1980s and early 1990s. These changes have accelerated markedly...

Using Monte Carlo simulation, threshold autoregressive (TAR) and momentum-threshold autoregressive (MTAR) asymmetric unit root tests are examined in the presence of generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH). It is shown that TAR and MTAR unit root tests exhibit greater...

Potential asymmetrical adjustment in UK house prices is considered. The present analysis extends previous research in a number of crucial ways. First, a seminal examination of asymmetry in regionally disaggregated UK house prices is undertaken. Secondly, data are examined which are further...