Numerous empirical studies establish that inflation has a negative short-run effect on stock returns but few studies report a positive, long-run Fisher effect for stock returns. Using stock price and goods price data from six industrial countries, our empirical results show that long-run Fisher...

Securitization of the residential mortgage market has completely transformed the process of financing home loans in the U.S. over the last two decades. We examine the effects of securitization on yield spreads in the primary mortgage market. Cointegration techniques are employed to test the...

We hypothesize that financial disintermediation during and after the Great Depression arose from the slow liquidation of failed-bank deposits in the years following financial crises. We construct a data series containing the stock of failed national bank deposits for the period 1921-1940. Our...

We study the relationships between interest and inflation rates using a recursive equation approach that takes into account both Fisher and Wicksell effects. Extending previous work, a state space representation is used to estimate time-varying ex post Fisher and Wicksell equation effects. We...

This paper extends previous research on how monetary policy rates impact interest and inflation rates. We develop and apply a system model comprised of joint Fisher-Wicksell effects augmented with the federal funds rate. Theoretical relationships between ex ante and ex post coefficients are...

This paper proposes that there is a dynamic relationship between interest and inflation rates that are jointly determined due to the dual existence of Fisher and Wicksell processes. The Fisher process is the positive relationship between inflation and interest rates wherein causality runs from...

The credit view asserts that there is a positive relationship between credit availability and economic growth. This paper applies recent advances in time series analysis to investigate the role of credit availability on the Finnish economy in the 1980-1996 period. During this period the Finnish...

The credit hypothesis maintains that nonmonetary factors worsen declines in output during severe economic contractions, which has been a prominent rationale for stringent bank regulation. We apply recent advances in time series analysis to re-examine the role of U.S. bank failures in the Great...

How can business leaders make better production and capital investment decisions? How can Wall Street analysts improve their predictions of future stock market values? How can government improve macroeconomic forecasts and policies? In The Power of Profit, Anari and Kolari demonstrate how profit...