This paper empirically examines the view that wage rigidity in long-term labor contracts matters for the behavior of employment. In particular, I follow Bils's (1991) approach, which looks for systematic employment patterns in the first year of long-term contracts. Using a new panel data set...

This paper models a union and firm choosing between long labor contracts, in which wages are predetermined, and short contracts, in which wages are flexible. It is shown that the union strictly prefers short contracts because it dislikes the greater employment volatility in long contracts. In...

The author provides a non-technical explanation of the role played by the exchange rate in Canada's inflation-targeting monetary policy. He reviews the motivation for inflation targeting and describes the monetary transmission mechanism. Though the exchange rate is an integral component of the...

In this paper, the author uses the term structure of nominal interest rates to construct estimates of agents' expectations of inflation over several medium-term forecast horizons. The Expectations Hypothesis is imposed together with the assumption that expected future real interest rates are...

Matching models of the labour market have been of particular interest in macroeconomics where the notion of 'thick-market' externalities can lead to multiple equilibria. This has led to some recent interest in constructing empirical estimates of labor-market matching functions. This paper argues...

Firms can adjust to shocks by laying off and hiring workers or by adjusting the hours worked by each worker. Adjustment of hours provides job security for employed workers. Adjustment of employment generates higher labor market turnover and, thus, better job prospects for the unemployed. Since...

In this paper, the author uses the term structure of nominal interest rates to construct estimates of agents' expectations of inflation over several medium-term forecast horizons. The Expectations Hypothesis is imposed together with the assumption that expected future real interest rates are...

A confluence of factors promises to put pressure on the new Bank of Canada governor to direct monetary policy at fixing Canada’s so-called “overvalued” currency, according to a report released today by the C.D. Howe Institute. But in “The Seductive Myth of Canada’s “Overvalued”...

In fast-growing developing countries, rapid productivity growth is largely driven by economic growth. Consequently, an understanding of the reasons for this strong productivity growth requires a broader perspective on the dynamics of the overall growth process. In early 2012 Daron Acemoglu, an...