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This paper considers the theoretical justifications of Lütkpohl’s (1988) test statistics when the data-generating process is relaxed to be a stationary ARFIMA process. Under suitable regularity conditions, we prove the applicability of Lütkpohl’s (1988) method to the stationary ARFIMA (p,...
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This paper considers the impact of ordinary least squares (OLS) detrending and the first difference (FD) detrending on autocorrelation estimation in the presence of long memory and deterministic trends. We show that the FD detrending results in inconsistent autocorrelation estimates when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005043094
This paper proposes an easy test for two stationary autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) processes being uncorrelated via AR approximations. We prove that an ARFIMA process can be approximated well by an autoregressive (AR) model and establish the theoretical foundation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005065306
This article examines the financial linkage between the RMB and other Asian currencies before and after the Asian financial crises in 1997 and 1998 to shed light on the role of China in Asian monetary integration. A newly developed econometrics methodology is employed to test the relationships...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008742740
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Yes. By using real-time structure break monitoring techniques we find evidence against monotonic response pattern, specifically three response structures of US stock market to the federal monetary policy actions based on a sample from 1989-2010. We re-estimate the market response in each of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010927709
We develop an easy-to-implement method for forecasting a stationary autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (ARFIMA) process subject to structural breaks with unknown break dates. We show that an ARFIMA process subject to a mean shift and a change in the long memory parameter can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010927723