One approach to achieving price stability is to undertake a deliberate path to an ultimate goal of low inflation - deliberate disinflation. In contrast an opportunistic strategy for disinflation has gained credence in recent years. We compare the ability of the two approaches to achieve...

Budget constraints are drawn up for annual hours and net pay, typically composed of two linear segments: 'benefit-constrained', where extra work forfeits benefit and 'normal', where extra work is subject to the standard marginal tax rate. There are additional linear segments for those on upper...

A model of profits switches between four regimes with fixed probabilities; the rationally expected profits stream implies the stock market value. This efficient market model is not rejected by UK post-war time-series behaviour of either profits or the FTSE index.

Stochastic simulations are used on the Liverpool Model of the UK to assess the effect of macroeconomic stability of the UK adopting the Euro. Instability increases substantially, particularly for inflation and real interest rates. A key factor is the extent of the Euro's instability against the...

In a stochastic world there appears to be a trade-off between the necessary 'tying of hands' to conquer the effects of time-inconsistency and the desirability of flexible response. However, it is in principle possible for the electorate to achieve an optimal outcome by use of discriminatory...

This paper offers a retrospective on the monetarist debate started by Milton Friedman in the 1950s, discussing both monetarist theory and policy recommendations. While the inability to find a controllable monetary aggregate with a velocity that can be accurately predicted has severely damaged...