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Uncertainty about the choice of identifying assumptions is common in causal studies, but is often ignored in empirical practice. This paper considers uncertainty over models that impose different identifying assumptions, which, in general, leads to a mix of point- and set-identified models. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241832
This paper reconciles the asymptotic disagreement between Bayesian and frequentist inference in set-identified models by adopting a multiple-prior (robust) Bayesian approach. We propose new tools for Bayesian inference in set-identified models and show that they have a well-defined posterior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202355
We develop methods for robust Bayesian inference in structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) where the parameters of interest are set-identified using external instruments, or 'proxy SVARs'. Set-identification in these models typically occurs when there are multiple instruments for multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202405
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012128838
To perform Bayesian analysis of a partially identified structural model, two distinct approaches exist: standard Bayesian inference, which assumes a single prior for the structural parameters, including the non-identified ones; and multiple-prior Bayesian inference, which assumes full ambiguity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012011545
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012171736
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174048
We develop methods for robust Bayesian inference in structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) where the impulse responses or forecast error variance decompositions of interest are set-identified using external instruments (or 'proxy SVARs'). Existing Bayesian approaches to inference in proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033053
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012117943
We review the literature on robust Bayesian analysis as a tool for global sensitivity analysis and for statistical decision-making under ambiguity. We discuss the methods proposed in the literature, including the different ways of constructing the set of priors that are the key input of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607980