We analyze precautionary saving behavior in a framework with labor and non-labor income risks, an endogenous supply of labor, and a representation of preferences that disentangles attitudes towards risk, attitudes towards intertemporal smoothing, and ordinal preferences for consumption and...

Pooled forecasts frequently outperform individual forecasts of economic time series. This paper shows that the introduction of model uncertainty into the formation of expectations can account for the regularity. We conjecture that agents learn in a Bayesian way, using an optimally designed...

We establish general conditions under which younger investors should invest a larger proportion of their wealth in risky assets than older ones. In the finite horizon dynamic setting, we show that such phenomenon, known as time diversification, can occur in the presence of human wealth, target...

Bakshi and Chen (1996a) suggest that the spirit of capitalism affects stock prices by increasing society's aversion to risk. In this paper, I show that the way in which the spirit of capitalism impinges upon asset prices depends upon the interaction of impatience, willingness to substitute over...

Recent research has shown that the "spirit of capitalism"--a preference for wealth itself, in addition to consumption--has important implications for growth and asset pricing. This paper explores how the spirit of capitalism affects saving and consumption behavior. We demonstrate that the spirit...

Empirically, growth rates are negatively correlated with birth rates; they are also correlated with production risk. We argue that these stylized facts are related, and arise jointly from the decision of how many children to have in a risky economic environment.