This study employs text-analysis software to analyze the contents of the Federal Reserve Beige Book summary of national economic and business conditions, with a particular focus on the predictive content of the text. We show that the Beige Book language is a good predictor of economic turning...

This study employs text-analysis software to analyze the contents of the Federal Reserve Beige Book summary of national economic and business conditions, with a particular focus on the predictive content of the text. The empirical results suggest that the Beige Book's tone changes in response to...

This study empirically examines whether spin and tone affect contemporaneous stock returns and volatility. We examine spin and tone of earnings reports from two sources: companies' earnings press releases and the financial news coverage of those releases. Our definition of spin is based on...

This study empirically examines whether spin in earnings information in the financial press or in company press releases can alter investor behaviour and affect stock returns. Our sample includes 72 companies from the Samp;P 100 over the sample period 2000:Q1 to 2005:Q1. Using intraday stock...

It has been argued that research on market efficiency should be evaluated in terms of whether it improves our ability to predict the time series of security returns. Much recent work has addressed the issue of the presence of long memory components in stock prices because of the controversial...

A lot of recent work has addressed the issue of the presence of long memory components in stock prices because of the controversial implications of such a finding for market efficiency and for martingale models of asset prices used in financial economics and technical trading rules used for...