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This paper examines both the linear and nonlinear causal relationships between crude oil price changes and stock market returns for the United States. In particular, the study applied a battery of unit root tests to ascertain the time series properties of crude oil price changes and stock market...
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This paper employs a bivariate BEKK-GARCH(1,1) model to examine shock and volatility spillovers between crude oil and … equity sector returns. In the market level, there are unilateral spillovers of shock and volatility from oil price to stock … market return. The findings in this paper are crucial for financial market participation to understand shock and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840698
Based on data until the mid 2000s, oil price changes were shown to predict international equity index returns with a negative predictive slope. Extending the sample to 2015, we document that this relationship has been reversed over the last ten years and therefore has not been stable over time....
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This paper examines the interdependence of China's policy uncertainty, the global oil market, and stock market returns in China. A structural VAR model is estimated that shows a positive shock to economic policy uncertainty in China has a delayed negative effect on global oil production, real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055688
market volatility. We construct from daily data on return and volatility the covariance of return and volatility at monthly … frequency. The measures of daily volatility are realized-volatility at high frequency (normalized squared return), conditional-volatility … recovered from a stochastic volatility model, and implied-volatility deduced from options prices. Positive shocks to aggregate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044308
dollar, an important oil trade partner of the U.S., to natural gas returns and its volatility, but not to oil return … volatility.Both the upstream and downstream segments present asymmetric changes regarding oil return changes. Stock returns of …
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