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consumption response. We investigate in a SVAR whether anticipation of the fiscal shock reverses the sign of this dynamic response … the US that consumption falls in reaction to an expenditure shock once the model allows for one-period-ahead anticipation … of this shock. Modelling anticipation of fiscal shocks is thus crucial to correctly capture their macroeconomic effects …
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We use regional variation in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (2009-2012) to analyze the effect of government spending on consumer spending. Our consumption data come from household-level retail purchases in the Nielsen scanner data and auto purchases from Equifax credit balances. We...
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