economical indicators. Also there are made short-term forecasts by trend and the seasonal index, and verified the hypothesis of …

The Hodrick-Prescott filter is a popular tool in macroeconomics for decomposing a time series into a smooth trend and a … regulations and policy changes generally lead to similar behaviours. Thus, those events should be absorbed by the trend component … of the trend-cycle decomposition, but the Hodrick-Prescott filter does not allow for jumps. We propose a modification of …

The recent decline in gross domestic product (GDP) growth in India raised a debate about whether it is a trend or a …. At the same time, the economy witnessed negative shocks to trend growth caused by policy uncertainty. In this paper, we … pull up trend growth of output. Given that the supply of factors, namely labor, human capital, infrastructure, and non …

The paper explores the possibility of making investment decisions in emerging markets by using the trend analysis … establishment of a trend, the cessation of the existing one, a change and an establishment of the new one. The capital market in …-term trend direction. Analysis of the long-term trend has not been considered for the period from 2009 to date because the market …

Trend den anderen signifikant abschwächt. Das "System USA" bewegt sich daher stabil in eine Richtung - der …

In this paper, we describe a new trend analysis and forecasting method (Deflexor), which is intended to help inform … information, our model allows for the creation of specific tools for trend analysis in particular fields that are adaptable to …