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human capital, is a valuable variable for predicting mortality. To insure its robustness and general applicability to … ongoing Social Security models, the usefulness of earnings growth as a predictor of mortality will be explored in multiple … with the pre-1978 administrative record data on earnings and mortality are met …
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have been extensively used for estimating age patterns of mortality in poor-data countries. We propose a new model inspired … by indirect estimation techniques applied in demography, which can be used to estimate full life tables at any point in …
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This work proposes a backtesting analysis that compares the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd mortality models …, employing Italian data. The mortality data come from the Italian National Statistics Institute (ISTAT) database and span the …. We find that neither model was able to capture the improving shock on mortality observed for the male population on the …
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The prototypical Lee-Carter mortality model is characterized by a single common time factor that loads differently … across age groups. In this paper, we propose a parametric factor model for the term structure of mortality where multiple … factors: a factor common for all age groups, factors for infant and adult mortality, and a factor for the “accident hump” that …
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