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targeting, under various open-economy Phillips curve specifications. Our forecasting exercise suggests that open …-2015:Q1 period and appear to be reliable proxies for global slack in forecasting inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696333
We develop a parsimonious panel model for quarterly regional house prices, for which both the cross-section and the time series dimension is large. The model allows for stochastic trends, cointegration, cross-equation correlations and, most importantly, latent-class clustering of regions. Class...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731783
; forecasting ; dynamic panel model ; spatial autocorrelation ; German cities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010079482
This paper considers the problem of prediction in a panel data regression model with spatial auto-correlation in the context of a simple demand equation for liquor. This is based on a panel of 43 states over the period 1965-1994. The spatial auto-correlation due to neighboring states and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014183179
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014148833
-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014040904
This chapter presents a unified set of estimation methods for fitting a rich array of models describing dynamic relationships within a longitudinal data setting. The discussion surveys approaches for characterizing the micro dynamics of continuous dependent variables both over time and across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024953
shown that effect of accounting for spatial dependence is even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014046018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010783964
This paper considers the problem of prediction in a panel data regression model with spatial autocorrelation in the context of a simple demand equation for liquor. This is based on a panel of 43 states over the period 1965-1994. The spatial autocorrelation due to neighboring states and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504097