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We estimate a three-country model using 1995-2013 data for Germany, the Rest of the Euro Area (REA) and the Rest of the World (ROW) to analyze the determinants of Germany's current account surplus after the launch of the Euro. The most important factors driving the German surplus were positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054630
We provide an overview of the recent developments of the literature on the determinants of long-term capital flows, global imbalances, and valuation effects. We present the main stylized facts of the new international financial landscape in which external balance sheets of countries have grown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025376
Current account imbalances have been a decisive feature of the European banking and sovereign debt crisis. This paper investigates the drivers of euro area current accounts, their divergence and subsequent rebalancing, within a structural model accommodating potential regime changes at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992498
The paper offers an empirical taxonomy of the factors driving China's current account. A simple present-value model …, suggesting that shocks to precautionary saving are key in understanding China's surplus. These findings are robust to controlling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141986
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In the debate on global imbalances, the euro area countries did not receive much attention so far. While the current account is on balance for the entire area, divergences between individual member states have increased since the introduction of the common currency. In this paper, the imbalances...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010209436
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This paper considers the general equilibrium relationship between exchange rates and global imbalances. It emphasizes that the exchange rate is not a primitive but an equilibrium price determined by the policy mix. It uses extensions of the two-country Obstfeld-Rogoff model to analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008937609
In partial equilibrium, a reduction in import barriers may be thought to lead to an increase in imports and a reduction in trade surplus. However, the general equilibrium effect can go in the opposite direction. We study how trade reforms affect current accounts by embedding a modified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076264